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The Illusion of Certainty: Risk, Probability, and Chance | 2015

The Illusion of Certainty: Risk, Probability, and Chance | 2015 Ambakisye-Okang Dukuzumurenyi 19 Views • 5 years ago

Stuff happens. The weather forecast says it’s sunny, but you just got drenched. You got a flu shot—but you’re sick in bed with the flu. Your best friend from Boston met your other best friend from San Francisco. Coincidentally. What are the odds? Risk, probability, chance, coincidence—they play a significant role in the way we make decisions about health, education, relationships, and money. But where does this data come from and what does it really mean? How does the brain find patterns and where can these patterns take us? When should we ditch the data and go with our gut? Join us in a captivating discussion that will demystify the chancy side of life.

This program is part of the Big Ideas Series, made possible with support from the John Templeton Foundation.

The World Science Festival gathers great minds in science and the arts to produce live and digital content that allows a broad general audience to engage with scientific discoveries. Our mission is to cultivate a general public informed by science, inspired by its wonder, convinced of its value, and prepared to engage with its implications for the future.

Subscribe to our YouTube Channel for all the latest from WSF.
Visit our Website: http://www.worldsciencefestival.com/
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/worldsciencefestival
Follow us on twitter: https://twitter.com/WorldSciFest

Original Program Date: June 2, 2011
MODERATOR: Marcus du Sautoy
PARTICIPANTS: Amir Aczel, Gerd Gigerenzer, Leonard Mlodinow, Josh Tenenbaum

Josh Tenenbaum and an experiment in ESP. 00:00

Risk, Probability, and Chance. 02:54

Marcus du Sautoy's Introduction. 06:32

Participant Introductions. 07:27

Are we good or bad at interpreting numbers? 09:45

The Monty Hall problem. 16:00

The fight or flight math means we understand numbers? 21:50

The "numbers are important" experiment. 25:33

VerizonMath: Verizon doesn't know Dollars from Cents. 29:30

If you play a lottery and there is 1 winner in a 1000, what is your percent of winning? 35:30

How well are our brains tuned for evidential data. 39:33

What is the birthday problem? 45:15

The way probability's are phrased are as important as the numbers. 53:31

Do we have a conception of a million? 01:03:28

What is a prior? 01:09:05

Josh Tenenbaum ESP experiment results. 01:15:19

"Numbers are important" experiment results. 01:20:45

How do we get a statistical society? 01:25:25

Physics in the Dark: Searching for the Universe’s Missing Matter | 2019

Physics in the Dark: Searching for the Universe’s Missing Matter | 2019 Ambakisye-Okang Dukuzumurenyi 16 Views • 5 years ago

If you believe the world’s leading physicists, the vast majority of matter in the universe is hiding in plain sight. For nearly a century, evidence has mounted that the gravitational pull necessary to keep clusters of galaxies intact, as well as stars within galaxies from flying apart, requires far more matter than we can see—matter, according to the experts, that has eluded our telescopes, because it does not give off light. Problem is, such “dark matter” has also eluded one specially designed detector after another that researchers have deployed to catch it. Which raises the big question: What if we have failed to find dark matter because it isn’t there? Join leading physicists on a scientific treasure hunt that has proved more challenging than anyone expected, and may ultimately require rethinking some of our most fundamental ideas about the universe.

This program is part of the BIG IDEAS SERIES, made possible with support from the JOHN TEMPLETON FOUNDATION.

PARTICIPANTS: Mariangela Lisanti, Joseph Silk, Erik Verlinde, and Risa Wechsler

MODERATOR: Brian Greene

TOPICS
00:00 - Introduction to dark matter
10:55 - Panelist introductions
12:28 - How do we explain motion in the universe?
16:35 - Is the “dark stuff” ordinary matter?
22:43 - Supersymmetric particles
30:06 - Weakly Interacting Massive Particles
33:14 - Searchng for WIMP dark matter
37:25 - What is the role of dark matter in the structure of the universe?
43:23 - Cold vs warm dark matter
46:54 - The “dark sector” possibility
52:56 - Expanding our understanding of gravity and thermodynamics
1:01:34 - Is there a connection between dark energy and dark matter?
1:07:36 - Why do galaxies rotate?
1:14:25 - Future predictions for the discovery of dark matter

PROGRAM CREDITS
- Produced by Laura Dattaro
- Associate Produced by Peter Goldberg
- Music provided by APM
- Additional images and footage provided by: The Dark Energy Survey, SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory
- Recorded at the Gerald W. Lynch Theatre at John Jay College

MORE INFO ABOUT THE PROGRAM AND
PARTICIPANTS: https://www.worldsciencefestiv....al.com/programs/phys

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- VISIT our Website: http://www.worldsciencefestival.com
- LIKE us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/worldsciencefestival
- FOLLOW us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/WorldSciFest

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