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This discussion dives into the pivotal role that China's historical lessons, particularly from the Opium Wars, play in shaping its modern financial and technological dominance. As silver flowed into China in the 18th and 19th centuries but rarely left, the nation’s self-sufficiency spurred tensions with Europe, leading to the Opium Wars. The result? A century of humiliation that remains a crucial part of Chinese education and self-perception today. Fast-forward to the present, and China, once weakened by colonial interference, has emerged technologically ahead of the West. However, the conversation touches on whether the West’s recent attempts, such as tariffs, could spark similar consequences in today's global economy.https://coppernicometals.com/TSX:COPRFor more content from VRIC host Jay Martin, please visit The Commodity University at https://thecommodityuniversity.com/Sign up for Jay’s newsletter at https://jaymartin.substack.com/subscribe
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China runs large trade surpluses with the United States. Typically these funds would be returned to the US as capital investments, either through buys of fixed assets, securities, or lending.
China, however, is liquidating stakes in companies in the United States, and is selling off its portfolio of Treasury bonds.
These two trends are resulting in enormous imbalances in Balance of Payments, which much be re-balanced via China's central banking activities. China is clearly recycling giant capital pools from the United States for investment purposes inside China, and among China's top trading partners.
And because the US dollars are never returned to the capital markets, it is also clear that China and the BRICS countries are setting up their own trading and economic bloc, funded largely with US debt instruments.
(Editor note: At about the 2:00 mark, I misspoke. The US ran a trade deficit of approximately $800 billion, not surplus. Apologies.)
Resources and links:
Bloomberg, US Trade Deficit Widens to $78.8 Billion, Largest in Two Years
https://www.bloomberg.com/news..../articles/2024-09-04
Why is China dumping US Treasuries for gold?
https://x.com/SputnikInt/statu....s/178313812393054619
Vanishing Act: The Shrinking Footprint of Chinese Companies in the US
https://rhg.com/research/vanis....hing-act-the-shrinki
China Should Explain ‘Enormous’ Data Gaps, US Ex-Official Says
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/in....vesting/2024/09/06/c
Bloomberg, China Plans to Sell Dollar Bonds in Saudi Arabia as Ties Deepen
https://www.bloomberg.com/news..../articles/2024-11-05
The Economist, Chinese firms are growing rapidly in the global south
https://www.economist.com/brie....fing/2024/08/01/chin
Closing scene, Yangzhou Gardens, Jiangsu
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